Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 12
Al-Fayha
ALF
Al-Faisaly
ALY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Fayha45%
Draw29%
Al-Faisaly26%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.00
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.3%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–010.7%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Faisaly get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession46%
32%Territory32%
12%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.8%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Fayha, 4 for Al-Faisaly.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.