Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 12
Al Diriyah
ALD
Neom SC
NEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Diriyah34%
Draw29%
Neom SC37%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.28
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Neom SC will have the ball; Al Diriyah will not mind.
45%Possession55%
38%Territory42%
36%From set plays35%
0.14Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Diriyah, 4 for Neom SC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.