Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 12
Abha
ABH
Al Ittihad
ALI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Abha21%
Draw25%
Al Ittihad54%
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.71
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.7%
- 1–111.4%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.3%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Ittihad will have the ball; Abha will not mind.
42%Possession53%
34%Territory47%
8%From set plays9%
0.09Chance quality0.11
7.4%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Abha, 4 for Al Ittihad.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.