Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 11
Neom SC
NEO
Abha
ABH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Neom SC61%
Draw24%
Abha15%
Expected goals
1.76 – 0.79
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 2–011.9%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Neom SC will have the ball; Abha will not mind.
55%Possession42%
42%Territory34%
35%From set plays8%
0.09Chance quality0.09
7.9%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Neom SC, 4 for Abha.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.