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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 11

Al Riyadh

ALR

Al-Taawoun

ALW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Riyadh38%
Draw27%
Al-Taawoun34%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.33

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al-Taawoun will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.

38%Possession54%
27%Territory44%
39%From set plays13%
0.07Chance quality0.10
7.7%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Riyadh, 4 for Al-Taawoun.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.