Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 11
Al Kholood
ALK
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Kholood46%
Draw26%
Al-Ettifaq28%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.22
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.3%
- 2–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession54%
43%Territory48%
20%From set plays19%
0.16Chance quality0.08
6.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Kholood, 4 for Al-Ettifaq.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Kholood
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.