Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 11
Al Ittihad
ALI
Al Diriyah
ALD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Ittihad53%
Draw25%
Al Diriyah22%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.11
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Ittihad will have the ball; Al Diriyah will not mind.
53%Possession45%
47%Territory38%
9%From set plays36%
0.11Chance quality0.14
4.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Ittihad, 4 for Al Diriyah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Ittihad
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.