Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 11
Al Hazem
ALZ
Al-Fayha
ALF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hazem42%
Draw28%
Al-Fayha29%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.15
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession48%
43%Territory32%
21%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Hazem, 4 for Al-Fayha.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.