Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 11
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Al Shabab
ALS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Fateh FC42%
Draw27%
Al Shabab32%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.33
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession49%
34%Territory47%
20%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.4%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Fateh FC, 4 for Al Shabab.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.