Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 11
Al-Faisaly
ALY
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Faisaly11%
Draw19%
Al Nassr FC70%
Expected goals
0.73 – 2.11
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–213.0%
- 0–112.9%
- 1–29.5%
- 1–18.8%
- 0–38.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Al-Faisaly will not mind.
46%Possession60%
32%Territory55%
39%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.10
6.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Faisaly, 4 for Al Nassr FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.