Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 10
Al-Taawoun
ALW
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Taawoun16%
Draw20%
Al Qadsiah63%
Expected goals
1.06 – 2.18
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.4%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–19.1%
- 1–37.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession57%
44%Territory44%
13%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.18
6.3%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Taawoun, 4 for Al Qadsiah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Taawoun
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.