Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 10
Al Shabab
ALS
Al-Faisaly
ALY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Shabab47%
Draw27%
Al-Faisaly26%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.09
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.2%
- 2–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Faisaly get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession46%
47%Territory32%
19%From set plays39%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Shabab, 4 for Al-Faisaly.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.