Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 10
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Neom SC
NEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Nassr FC61%
Draw23%
Neom SC16%
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.85
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 2–011.4%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
60%Possession55%
55%Territory42%
26%From set plays35%
0.10Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Nassr FC, 4 for Neom SC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.