Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 10
Al Hilal
ALH
Al Hazem
ALZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal81%
Draw12%
Al Hazem6%
Expected goals
2.87 – 0.75
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.4%
- 3–010.6%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–08.2%
- 3–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Al Hazem will not mind.
58%Possession44%
48%Territory43%
24%From set plays21%
0.18Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Al Hilal, 4 for Al Hazem.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.