Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 10
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Al Ittihad
ALI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Ettifaq29%
Draw26%
Al Ittihad46%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.65
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession53%
48%Territory47%
19%From set plays9%
0.08Chance quality0.11
4.8%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Ettifaq, 4 for Al Ittihad.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.