Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 10
Abha
ABH
Al Kholood
ALK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Abha30%
Draw28%
Al Kholood42%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.40
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–09.1%
- 0–08.9%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Kholood will have the ball; Abha will not mind.
42%Possession51%
34%Territory43%
8%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.16
7.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Abha, 4 for Al Kholood.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.