Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 9
Neom SC
NEO
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Neom SC54%
Draw25%
Al-Ettifaq21%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.00
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Neom SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession54%
42%Territory48%
35%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.08
7.9%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Neom SC, 4 for Al-Ettifaq.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.