Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 9
Al Riyadh
ALR
Al Hilal
ALH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Riyadh10%
Draw17%
Al Hilal74%
Expected goals
0.80 – 2.43
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.9%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–39.2%
- 1–37.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.
38%Possession58%
27%Territory48%
39%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.18
7.7%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Riyadh, 5 for Al Hilal.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.