Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 9
Al Riyadh
ALR
Al Hilal
ALH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Riyadh5%
Draw12%
Al Hilal83%
Expected goals
0.64 – 2.81
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.8%
- 0–311.7%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–28.0%
- 0–48.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.
46%Possession59%
37%Territory54%
14%From set plays28%
0.08Chance quality0.15
5.9%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Riyadh, 3 for Al Hilal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.