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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 9

Al Qadsiah

ALQ

Abha

ABH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Qadsiah76%
Draw15%
Abha8%

Expected goals

2.51 – 0.74

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-1.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2012.4%
  • 1010.3%
  • 3010.0%
  • 219.0%
  • 317.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Abha will not mind.

57%Possession42%
44%Territory34%
13%From set plays8%
0.18Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Qadsiah, 4 for Abha.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.