Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 9
Al Ittihad
ALI
Al Shabab
ALS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Ittihad48%
Draw24%
Al Shabab28%
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.39
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–07.8%
- 1–26.7%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Shabab get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession57%
47%Territory42%
9%From set plays31%
0.14Chance quality0.15
5.3%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Ittihad, 3 for Al Shabab. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.