Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 9
Al Hazem
ALZ
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hazem43%
Draw27%
Al Fateh FC30%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.28
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession44%
43%Territory34%
21%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Hazem, 4 for Al Fateh FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.