Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 9
Al-Faisaly
ALY
Al Kholood
ALK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Faisaly29%
Draw28%
Al Kholood42%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.40
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.5%
- 0–09.1%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Faisaly get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession51%
32%Territory43%
39%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.16
6.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Faisaly, 4 for Al Kholood.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.