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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 9

Al Diriyah

ALD

Al-Taawoun

ALW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Diriyah51%
Draw25%
Al-Taawoun24%

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.14

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 0–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al-Taawoun will have the ball; Al Diriyah will not mind.

45%Possession54%
38%Territory44%
36%From set plays13%
0.14Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Diriyah, 4 for Al-Taawoun.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.