Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 8
Al Shabab
ALS
Al-Taawoun
ALW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Shabab43%
Draw26%
Al-Taawoun31%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.33
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–27.4%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession54%
47%Territory44%
19%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Shabab, 4 for Al-Taawoun.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Taawoun
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.