Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 8
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Al Diriyah
ALD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Nassr FC69%
Draw19%
Al Diriyah12%
Expected goals
2.19 – 0.81
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.0%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.7%
- 3–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Al Diriyah will not mind.
60%Possession45%
55%Territory38%
26%From set plays36%
0.10Chance quality0.14
6.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Nassr FC, 4 for Al Diriyah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.