Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 8
Al Kholood
ALK
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Kholood22%
Draw24%
Al Qadsiah55%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.87
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–28.5%
- 1–36.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession57%
43%Territory44%
20%From set plays13%
0.16Chance quality0.18
6.0%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Kholood, 4 for Al Qadsiah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Kholood
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.