Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 8
Al Hilal
ALH
Al Ittihad
ALI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal66%
Draw20%
Al Ittihad15%
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.00
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–18.8%
- 3–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession53%
48%Territory47%
24%From set plays9%
0.18Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Al Hilal, 4 for Al Ittihad.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.