Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 8
Al-Fayha
ALF
Al Riyadh
ALR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Fayha43%
Draw29%
Al Riyadh28%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.07
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–012.3%
- 0–09.8%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Fayha will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.
48%Possession38%
32%Territory27%
12%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.07
6.8%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Fayha, 4 for Al Riyadh.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.