Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 8
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Al Ahli
ALA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Fateh FC16%
Draw20%
Al Ahli64%
Expected goals
1.07 – 2.23
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.3%
- 1–18.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 1–37.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Ahli will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.
44%Possession53%
34%Territory44%
20%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.17
7.4%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Fateh FC, 5 for Al Ahli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.