Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 8
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Al Khaleej
ALL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Ettifaq47%
Draw27%
Al Khaleej26%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.13
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession49%
48%Territory48%
19%From set plays28%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Ettifaq, 4 for Al Khaleej.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Khaleej
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.