Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 8
Abha
ABH
Al-Faisaly
ALY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Abha41%
Draw30%
Al-Faisaly29%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.07
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.5%
- 0–010.7%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Faisaly get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession46%
34%Territory32%
8%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.11
7.4%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Abha, 4 for Al-Faisaly.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.