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Serie B · Matchweek 26

Hellas Verona

HEL

Virtus Entella

VIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hellas Verona38%
Draw30%
Virtus Entella32%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.15

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Virtus Entella get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

47%Possession49%
43%Territory36%
21%From set plays49%
0.09Chance quality0.07
5.5%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hellas Verona, 4 for Virtus Entella.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.