Serie B · Matchweek 26
Südtirol
SDT
Arezzo
ARE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Südtirol57%
Draw24%
Arezzo19%
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.00
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.3%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Südtirol will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.
57%Possession40%
29%Territory34%
23%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Südtirol, 4 for Arezzo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.