Serie B · Matchweek 26
Sampdoria
SAM
Avellino
AVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sampdoria35%
Draw31%
Avellino34%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.12
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–012.0%
- 0–111.8%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Avellino will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.
38%Possession57%
36%Territory38%
26%From set plays32%
0.08Chance quality0.07
8.3%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sampdoria, 4 for Avellino.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.