Serie B · Matchweek 26
Juve Stabia
JUV
Empoli
EMP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juve Stabia52%
Draw26%
Empoli22%
Expected goals
1.61 – 0.97
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession47%
31%Territory34%
36%From set plays34%
0.08Chance quality0.06
3.0%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juve Stabia, 4 for Empoli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.