Serie B · Matchweek 26
Cremonese
CRE
Palermo
PAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cremonese27%
Draw24%
Palermo49%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.85
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–18.1%
- 0–26.9%
- 2–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession45%
42%Territory31%
28%From set plays14%
0.14Chance quality0.12
5.8%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cremonese, 4 for Palermo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.