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Serie B · Matchweek 26

Cesena

CES

LR Vicenza

LRV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cesena56%
Draw23%
LR Vicenza21%

Expected goals

1.97 – 1.16

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LR Vicenza get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

42%Possession48%
36%Territory37%
26%From set plays63%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cesena, 4 for LR Vicenza.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.