Serie B · Matchweek 26
Cesena
CES
LR Vicenza
LRV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cesena56%
Draw23%
LR Vicenza21%
Expected goals
1.97 – 1.16
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
LR Vicenza get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession48%
36%Territory37%
26%From set plays63%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cesena, 4 for LR Vicenza.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.