Serie B · Matchweek 26
Carrarese
CAR
Catanzaro
CAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Carrarese56%
Draw22%
Catanzaro22%
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.25
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.7%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–07.8%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Carrarese will have the ball; Catanzaro will not mind.
56%Possession48%
35%Territory35%
15%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Carrarese, 4 for Catanzaro.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.