Serie B · Matchweek 26
Ascoli
ASC
Pisa
PIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ascoli47%
Draw25%
Pisa28%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.30
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
66%Possession58%
42%Territory40%
43%From set plays20%
0.13Chance quality0.14
3.7%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ascoli, 4 for Pisa.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.