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Serie B · Matchweek 25

Pisa

PIS

Juve Stabia

JUV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Pisa41%
Draw27%
Juve Stabia32%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.30

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juve Stabia get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

58%Possession51%
40%Territory31%
20%From set plays36%
0.14Chance quality0.08
3.3%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Pisa, 4 for Juve Stabia.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.