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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 25

Palermo

PAL

Mantova

MAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Palermo58%
Draw21%
Mantova21%

Expected goals

2.16 – 1.26

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 2–07.6%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Mantova will have the ball; Palermo will not mind.

45%Possession56%
31%Territory48%
14%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.7%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Palermo, 4 for Mantova.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.