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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 25

LR Vicenza

LRV

Padova

PAD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LR Vicenza44%
Draw27%
Padova29%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.20

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LR Vicenza will have the ball; Padova will not mind.

48%Possession39%
37%Territory34%
63%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.9%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for LR Vicenza, 4 for Padova.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.