Serie B · Matchweek 25
Virtus Entella
VIR
Carrarese
CAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Virtus Entella40%
Draw30%
Carrarese31%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.11
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–010.4%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Virtus Entella get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession56%
36%Territory35%
49%From set plays15%
0.07Chance quality0.12
7.0%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Virtus Entella, 4 for Carrarese.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.