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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 25

Empoli

EMP

Benevento

BEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Empoli31%
Draw27%
Benevento42%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.54

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Benevento will have the ball; Empoli will not mind.

47%Possession56%
34%Territory41%
34%From set plays25%
0.06Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Empoli, 4 for Benevento.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.