Serie B · Matchweek 25
Cremonese
CRE
Cesena
CES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cremonese34%
Draw27%
Cesena38%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.45
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession42%
42%Territory36%
28%From set plays26%
0.14Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cremonese, 4 for Cesena.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.