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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 25

Avellino

AVE

Ascoli

ASC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Avellino38%
Draw29%
Ascoli34%

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.25

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 0–08.8%
  • 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Ascoli will have the ball; Avellino will not mind.

57%Possession66%
38%Territory42%
32%From set plays43%
0.07Chance quality0.13
8.0%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Avellino, 4 for Ascoli.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.