Serie B · Matchweek 25
Arezzo
ARE
Sampdoria
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arezzo28%
Draw29%
Sampdoria43%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.36
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–112.6%
- 0–010.2%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession38%
34%Territory36%
31%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.08
7.4%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Arezzo, 4 for Sampdoria.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.