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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 24

Sampdoria

SAM

Ascoli

ASC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sampdoria32%
Draw30%
Ascoli38%

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.25

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–111.8%
  • 0–010.6%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Ascoli will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.

38%Possession66%
36%Territory42%
26%From set plays43%
0.08Chance quality0.13
8.3%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sampdoria, 4 for Ascoli.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.