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Serie B · Matchweek 24

Pisa

PIS

Empoli

EMP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Pisa54%
Draw24%
Empoli22%

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.18

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Pisa will have the ball; Empoli will not mind.

58%Possession47%
40%Territory34%
20%From set plays34%
0.14Chance quality0.06
3.3%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Pisa, 4 for Empoli.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.