Serie B · Matchweek 24
Modena
MOD
Virtus Entella
VIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Modena52%
Draw29%
Virtus Entella20%
Expected goals
1.42 – 0.79
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–016.0%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–012.1%
- 2–010.6%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Modena will have the ball; Virtus Entella will not mind.
59%Possession49%
39%Territory36%
22%From set plays49%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.7%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Modena, 4 for Virtus Entella.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.